This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
This week our Star really fakes us out with two big solar storm launches on the Sun’s farside. Although these storms are not Earth-directed, they are a clear indicator that Solar Cycle 25 is now well underway. The big flare players we saw just two weeks ago are obviously still alive and kicking and as they rotate back into Earth-view over this next week, no doubt we will see a lot more activity. As it is, we are already seeing multiple solar storm launches in a single day just from STEREO’s view. In fact, there are so many, it’s a bit hard to keep track of them all. This means aurora photographers might soon be getting a treat over the next two weeks while amateur radio operators will enjoy better propagation (albeit with a bit more noise on the bands) on Earth’s dayside. Of course, this also means the risk of radio blackouts will also increase so GPS users will need to keep that in mind as there might be degraded GPS reception near dawn and dusk over the next two weeks. Learn the details of the recent big solar storm launches, see the rise of region 2844, and find out what else our Sun has in store this week!
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wing-kp
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://sol.spacenvironment.net/raps_ops/current_files/globeView.html
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.