//Covid optimism

Covid optimism

Right now there is no obvious replacement for the BA.5 variant, that is causing the current wave. This leaves open the real possibility that this could be the last significant wave this year, (or hopefully much longer).

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

BA.5 85.5%

BA.4 7.7%

BA.4.6 4.1

BA2.12.1 2.6%

BA.2 0.1%

BA.1s 0%

BA. 2.75 not US listed

US hospitalizations

Down 3.8% on the week

Known daily case counts, test positivity, hospitalizations slow downward trend

US deaths

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailydeaths_select_00

Last 7 days rolling average, 393 per day

Dr. Fauci (81), Re. BA.5

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/08/05/fauci-vaccine-covid-trouble/?utm_campaign=wp_to_your_health&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_tyh

If they don’t get vaccinated or they don’t get boosted, they’re going to get into trouble

Wants to increase vaccination and booster rates, so the virus does not have,

ample opportunity to freely circulate

It is about you as an individual, but it’s also about the communal responsibility to get this outbreak under control

(POTUS, fully vaccinated and double boosted)

Weekly national Influenza and COVID-19 surveillance report

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1096288/Weekly_Flu_and_COVID-19_report_w31.pdf

COVID-19 activity decreased

Highest number of respiratory incidents, (mostly SARS-CoV-2) in care homes

Influenza positivity, 0.5%

RSV positivity up to 6.5% overall

RSV positivity in under 5s, 22.2%

Rhinovirus positivity, down to 8.4%

Symptom tracker data

https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data

New cases per day, 145,740

Current prevalence, 2,858,159

UK official data

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk

ONS latest

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19/latestinsights

3.86% in England (1 in 25 people)

3.58% in Wales (1 in 30 people)

5.98% in Northern Ireland (1 in 17)

4.95% in Scotland (1 in 20)

Long covid, as of 2 July 2022

1.8 million people, (2.8% of the population)

Of those,

81% experiencing long COVID symptoms at least 12 weeks

43% at least one year

Antibodies

179ng/ml level and the 800ng/ml theshold